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NEWS: Variety: Live-Action Sonic the Hedgehog 3 Film Gets Sequel




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GATSU



Joined: 03 Jan 2002
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PostPosted: Thu Dec 19, 2024 1:39 pm Reply with quote
It's not gonna make Mario money, unless January is really that terrible. But does it mean an end of an era if it beats Mufasa?
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GATSU



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PostPosted: Thu Dec 19, 2024 2:52 pm Reply with quote
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BigOnAnime
Encyclopedia Editor


Joined: 01 Jul 2010
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Location: Minnesota, USA
PostPosted: Thu Dec 19, 2024 9:57 pm Reply with quote
GATSU wrote:
It's not gonna make Mario money, unless January is really that terrible. But does it mean an end of an era if it beats Mufasa?
It's absolutely going to beat Mufasa. Mufasa is going to be another Alice Through the Looking Glass sequel drop for Disney ($1 billion --> $299 million), though it probably will break-even. The previous movie (sadly) grossed $1.6 billion. All projections point to Sonic beating Mufasa. They can and have been wrong before, but it's doubtful in this instance.
https://www.boxofficepro.com/weekend-preview-sonic-3-pacing-ahead-of-mufasa-to-top-the-box-office/
https://deadline.com/2024/12/sonic-the-hedgehog-3-mufasa-box-office-preview-1236208677/
https://www.hollywoodreporter.com/movies/movie-news/box-office-sonic-3-mufasa-the-lion-king-1236089896/
https://www.reddit.com/r/boxoffice/comments/1hgroqq/theflatlannister_on_bot_previews_for_mufasa_the/

January is generally a lower-grossing month for new releases, it's part of the dump months. The leftovers are typically what do well.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dump_months
https://tvtropes.org/pmwiki/pmwiki.php/Main/DumpMonths
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/month/january/?grossesOption=calendarGrosses (Compare the other months and you'll notice how much lower it is than say July)

Like look at the past few Januaries in terms of calendar grosses, mainly the December leftovers are what did the best.
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/month/january/2024/
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/month/january/2023/
https://www.boxofficemojo.com/month/january/2022/
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GATSU



Joined: 03 Jan 2002
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 20, 2024 11:10 am Reply with quote
Big: Sonic 3 will be competing against the WTFery of Paramount's own Better Man, so yeah, I think January looks good for the blue speedster, too.
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Silver Kirin



Joined: 09 Aug 2018
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 20, 2024 11:38 am Reply with quote
GATSU wrote:
It's not gonna make Mario money, unless January is really that terrible. But does it mean an end of an era if it beats Mufasa?

In reagrds to Mario, I wonder if the Sonic movies would be even more popular if they were animated, while I like the Sonic movies sometimes I feel they're limited by the fact that they're in live-action. Still, I find it incredible that despite the infamous first trailer for the original movie, the Sonic films have become a sort of new big franchise for Paramount, though I think SEGA should take more advantage of their popularity.
As for Mufasa, as other said, Disney hasn't had any luck with sequels to their live-action (even though the Lion King 2019 is computer animated), reimaginings, both the sequels to 2010's Alice in Wonderland and Maleficent were financial dissapointments, and to be fair it seems the public at large are becoming tired of Disney's reimaginings, Dumbo flopped, as well as Mulan (and while that was released during the height of the pandemic, I think it'd be a failure regardless) and The Little Mermaid underperormed. I don't think Snow White will do great either, though perhaps next year's Lilo and Stitch might be a hit
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GATSU



Joined: 03 Jan 2002
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 20, 2024 12:54 pm Reply with quote
Mufasa underperforming probably hurts more than that Alice sequel, because The Lion King is a flagship IP for Di$ney.
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MFrontier



Joined: 13 Apr 2014
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PostPosted: Fri Dec 20, 2024 11:09 pm Reply with quote
To the surprise of probably no one.
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MarshalBanana



Joined: 31 Aug 2014
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PostPosted: Sat Dec 21, 2024 10:13 am Reply with quote
Silver Kirin wrote:
GATSU wrote:
It's not gonna make Mario money, unless January is really that terrible. But does it mean an end of an era if it beats Mufasa?

In reagrds to Mario, I wonder if the Sonic movies would be even more popular if they were animated, while I like the Sonic movies sometimes I feel they're limited by the fact that they're in live-action.
I would love a 2D animated Sonic movie.
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